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Tropical Storm CARLOTTA


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TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042006
1500 UTC WED JUL 12 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 105.3W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 105.3W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 104.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.0N 107.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.6N 109.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.2N 111.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.5N 113.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 18.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 19.0N 121.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 105.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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