Tropical Depression FOUR-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042006
0300 UTC WED JUL 12 2006
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 102.8W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..175NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 102.8W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 102.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.2N 104.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.0N 107.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.8N 109.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.4N 111.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.1N 115.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  65SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 19.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 22.0N 120.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 102.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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