ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032006 2100 UTC THU JUL 13 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 25N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 192N 1254W 34 88 6(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 12 192N 1254W 50 44 14(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) 12 192N 1254W 64 27 8(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) 24 203N 1283W 34 1 54(55) 7(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) 24 203N 1283W 50 X 18(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) 24 203N 1283W 64 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 36 212N 1311W 34 X 3( 3) 22(25) 5(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) 36 212N 1311W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 36 212N 1311W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 220N 1338W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) 48 220N 1338W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 220N 1338W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 225N 1390W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 72 225N 1390W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 72 225N 1390W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 225N 1440W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 96 225N 1440W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 225N 1440W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 220N 1485W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 120 220N 1485W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 220N 1485W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 75 55 40 30 25 20 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA/LANDSEA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC