Hurricane BUD

ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11                   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006               
0900 UTC THU JUL 13 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 
NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110  
KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/HR.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 184N 1228W 34 95   3(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 184N 1228W 50 78  10(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
 12 184N 1228W 64 33  16(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
 
 24 195N 1256W 34  1  79(80)   8(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
 24 195N 1256W 50  X  48(48)  11(59)   1(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
 24 195N 1256W 64  X  22(22)   6(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
 36 204N 1283W 34  X   7( 7)  48(55)   8(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
 36 204N 1283W 50  X   2( 2)  22(24)   4(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 36 204N 1283W 64  X   X( X)   8( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
 48 209N 1309W 34  X   1( 1)  10(11)  21(32)   4(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 48 209N 1309W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 48 209N 1309W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 210N 1355W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)   X(10)
 72 210N 1355W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 72 210N 1355W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 210N 1400W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)
 96 210N 1400W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 210N 1400W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 205N 1445W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 205N 1445W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 205N 1445W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    100     85      65      50      30      30      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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