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Hurricane BUD (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10                   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006               
0300 UTC THU JUL 13 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 
NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100  
KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/HR.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 180N 1208W 34 96   2(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 180N 1208W 50 77  10(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 12 180N 1208W 64 36  18(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 
 24 191N 1234W 34  4  78(82)   7(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 24 191N 1234W 50  X  47(47)  11(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 24 191N 1234W 64  X  21(21)   5(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
 36 201N 1257W 34  X  15(15)  43(58)   7(65)   1(66)   X(66)   X(66)
 36 201N 1257W 50  X   2( 2)  23(25)   5(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 36 201N 1257W 64  X   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
 48 207N 1279W 34  X   2( 2)  16(18)  18(36)   6(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 48 207N 1279W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 48 207N 1279W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 210N 1325W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   3(15)   X(15)
 72 210N 1325W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 72 210N 1325W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 210N 1360W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)
 96 210N 1360W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 210N 1360W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 210N 1395W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
120 210N 1395W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 210N 1395W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     90     80      65      50      40      30      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC