Tropical Storm ALETTA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006
1500Z MON MAY 29 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
L CARDENAS 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11)
ACAPULCO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 160N 1020W 34 20 17(37) 6(43) 3(46) 2(48) X(48) X(48)
12 160N 1020W 50 4 3( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
12 160N 1020W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
24 160N 1026W 34 5 23(28) 11(39) 4(43) 3(46) X(46) X(46)
24 160N 1026W 50 1 6( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) 1(13) X(13)
24 160N 1026W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 160N 1035W 34 X 11(11) 20(31) 8(39) 3(42) 1(43) 1(44)
36 160N 1035W 50 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
36 160N 1035W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 160N 1045W 34 X 2( 2) 16(18) 10(28) 9(37) 1(38) 1(39)
48 160N 1045W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12)
48 160N 1045W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 160N 1060W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 9(14) 11(25) 5(30) 1(31)
72 160N 1060W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
72 160N 1060W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
96 155N 1080W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 7( 9) 7(16) 2(18)
96 155N 1080W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
96 155N 1080W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 155N 1100W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 2(11)
120 155N 1100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 155N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 45 50 50 45 45 40
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN
$$
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