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TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006
2100Z SUN MAY 28 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) 1(12)
MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) X(12)
L CARDENAS 34 1 4( 5) 6(11) 10(21) 7(28) 2(30) 1(31)
L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 2 9(11) 8(19) 9(28) 6(34) 1(35) 1(36)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 1( 9)
ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ACAPULCO 34 11 15(26) 5(31) 5(36) 3(39) X(39) 1(40)
ACAPULCO 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
P MALDONADO 34 2 4( 6) 4(10) 4(14) 2(16) 1(17) X(17)
P ANGEL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
HUATULCO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 161N 1009W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 161N 1009W 50 5 4( 9) 1(10) 2(12) 1(13) 1(14) X(14)
12 161N 1009W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 164N 1009W 34 35 14(49) 4(53) 3(56) 3(59) 1(60) X(60)
24 164N 1009W 50 4 4( 8) 2(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
24 164N 1009W 64 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 166N 1011W 34 19 17(36) 6(42) 5(47) 3(50) 1(51) 1(52)
36 166N 1011W 50 2 5( 7) 3(10) 2(12) 2(14) X(14) 1(15)
36 166N 1011W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 167N 1020W 34 4 11(15) 8(23) 10(33) 6(39) 2(41) 1(42)
48 167N 1020W 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 4( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13)
48 167N 1020W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
72 165N 1035W 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 11(17) 11(28) 5(33) 1(34)
72 165N 1035W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
72 165N 1035W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
96 165N 1050W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 5( 6) 10(16) 6(22) 2(24)
96 165N 1050W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
96 165N 1050W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
120 165N 1065W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 6(13) 4(17)
120 165N 1065W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
120 165N 1065W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 45 45 50 50 50 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC