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TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006
0900Z SUN MAY 28 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
L CARDENAS 34 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) 11(24) 2(26) 1(27)
L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 6( 7) 7(14) 7(21) 12(33) 1(34) 1(35)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
ACAPULCO 34 5 14(19) 9(28) 7(35) 8(43) 2(45) 1(46)
ACAPULCO 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11)
ACAPULCO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
P MALDONADO 34 2 4( 6) 6(12) 6(18) 11(29) 2(31) 1(32)
P MALDONADO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
P ANGEL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) 2(11)
HUATULCO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 2(10)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 156N 1009W 34 75 9(84) 1(85) 1(86) 2(88) X(88) X(88)
12 156N 1009W 50 5 4( 9) 4(13) 2(15) 4(19) 1(20) X(20)
12 156N 1009W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
24 159N 1009W 34 41 12(53) 6(59) 2(61) 3(64) 1(65) X(65)
24 159N 1009W 50 3 5( 8) 4(12) 2(14) 4(18) X(18) 1(19)
24 159N 1009W 64 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
36 162N 1008W 34 23 18(41) 7(48) 3(51) 4(55) 1(56) X(56)
36 162N 1008W 50 2 6( 8) 4(12) 2(14) 4(18) X(18) 1(19)
36 162N 1008W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 164N 1009W 34 14 18(32) 10(42) 4(46) 5(51) 1(52) X(52)
48 164N 1009W 50 1 5( 6) 4(10) 4(14) 2(16) 1(17) X(17)
48 164N 1009W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
72 163N 1012W 34 13 17(30) 9(39) 4(43) 6(49) 1(50) X(50)
72 163N 1012W 50 2 3( 5) 4( 9) 3(12) 4(16) X(16) 1(17)
72 163N 1012W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 162N 1015W 34 11 15(26) 9(35) 5(40) 7(47) 1(48) X(48)
96 162N 1015W 50 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 5(15) 1(16) X(16)
96 162N 1015W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
120 160N 1020W 34 6 11(17) 11(28) 4(32) 11(43) 2(45) 1(46)
120 160N 1020W 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 5(12) 2(14) X(14)
120 160N 1020W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 45 50 55 55 55 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC