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TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006
0300Z SUN MAY 28 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)
MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9)
L CARDENAS 34 1 4( 5) 5(10) 4(14) 8(22) 4(26) 1(27)
L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 3 8(11) 7(18) 4(22) 7(29) 3(32) X(32)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ACAPULCO 34 14 15(29) 8(37) 4(41) 6(47) 1(48) 1(49)
ACAPULCO 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11)
ACAPULCO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
P MALDONADO 34 2 6( 8) 6(14) 3(17) 8(25) 1(26) 1(27)
P MALDONADO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
P ANGEL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
HUATULCO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 160N 1009W 34 64 12(76) 3(79) X(79) 1(80) 1(81) X(81)
12 160N 1009W 50 5 5(10) 2(12) 2(14) 3(17) 2(19) X(19)
12 160N 1009W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 163N 1008W 34 50 9(59) 4(63) 2(65) 1(66) 2(68) X(68)
24 163N 1008W 50 3 6( 9) 3(12) 1(13) 4(17) 1(18) X(18)
24 163N 1008W 64 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
36 166N 1007W 34 32 16(48) 5(53) 2(55) 2(57) 1(58) 1(59)
36 166N 1007W 50 2 5( 7) 4(11) 2(13) 3(16) 1(17) 1(18)
36 166N 1007W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 169N 1007W 34 20 16(36) 8(44) 3(47) 3(50) 2(52) X(52)
48 169N 1007W 50 1 4( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) 2(13) 1(14) 1(15)
48 169N 1007W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
72 170N 1010W 34 13 16(29) 8(37) 4(41) 3(44) 2(46) 1(47)
72 170N 1010W 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) 1(12) 1(13)
72 170N 1010W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
96 170N 1010W 34 13 16(29) 8(37) 4(41) 3(44) 2(46) 1(47)
96 170N 1010W 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) 1(12) 1(13)
96 170N 1010W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
120 170N 1010W 34 13 16(29) 8(37) 4(41) 3(44) 2(46) 1(47)
120 170N 1010W 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) 1(12) 1(13)
120 170N 1010W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 45 50 50 55 55 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC