Tropical Depression ONE-E
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006
1500Z SAT MAY 27 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8)
L CARDENAS 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 8(15) 6(21) 2(23) 2(25)
L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 5( 6) 7(13) 10(23) 5(28) 1(29) 1(30)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ACAPULCO 34 1 9(10) 10(20) 9(29) 3(32) 1(33) 1(34)
ACAPULCO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
P MALDONADO 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) 3(16) 1(17) 1(18)
P ANGEL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
HUATULCO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 155N 1012W 34 32 12(44) 4(48) 4(52) 1(53) 1(54) X(54)
12 155N 1012W 50 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 3(10) 2(12) X(12) 1(13)
12 155N 1012W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
24 160N 1010W 34 20 18(38) 6(44) 4(48) 2(50) 1(51) X(51)
24 160N 1010W 50 1 5( 6) 2( 8) 3(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
24 160N 1010W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 164N 1009W 34 9 19(28) 9(37) 6(43) 3(46) 1(47) 1(48)
36 164N 1009W 50 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12) 1(13)
36 164N 1009W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 167N 1014W 34 5 14(19) 10(29) 5(34) 4(38) 1(39) 1(40)
48 167N 1014W 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) X(10) 1(11)
48 167N 1014W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
72 168N 1019W 34 3 10(13) 9(22) 7(29) 4(33) 2(35) 1(36)
72 168N 1019W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10)
72 168N 1019W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
96 168N 1025W 34 1 7( 8) 7(15) 9(24) 5(29) 3(32) 1(33)
96 168N 1025W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
96 168N 1025W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
120 168N 1030W 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 9(18) 6(24) 3(27) 1(28)
120 168N 1030W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)
120 168N 1030W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 45 45 45 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
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