Tropical Storm ALETTA

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TROPICAL STORM ALETTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012006
0300Z MON MAY 29 2006
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO
FROM PUNTA MALDONADO WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 101.0W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 101.0W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 101.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.2N 101.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.5N 101.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 16.6N 101.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 16.6N 102.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.5N 104.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 16.5N 105.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 16.5N 107.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 101.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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