ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 0300 UTC MON OCT 02 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X 9( 9) 9(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 1 76(77) 3(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X 18(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 2 42(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BURGEO NFLD 34 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PTX BASQUES 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 425N 572W 34 96 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) 12 425N 572W 50 41 10(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) 12 425N 572W 64 11 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 24 478N 535W 34 X 70(70) 5(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) 24 478N 535W 50 X 17(17) 7(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) 24 478N 535W 64 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 36 515N 493W 34 X 3( 3) 47(50) 9(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) 36 515N 493W 50 X X( X) 11(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 36 515N 493W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 48 533N 455W 34 X X( X) 14(14) 32(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) 48 533N 455W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 48 533N 455W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 60 50 45 45 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 02-Oct-2006 02:50:02 UTC