Hurricane ISAAC
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006
1500 UTC SUN OCT 01 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 18(18) 25(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X 2( 2) 68(70) 7(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) 24(24) 8(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 2( 2) 36(38) 2(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PTX BASQUES 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X 10(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 372N 598W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 372N 598W 50 66 12(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
12 372N 598W 64 33 6(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
24 420N 572W 34 1 84(85) 5(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
24 420N 572W 50 X 37(37) 12(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
24 420N 572W 64 X 13(13) 5(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
36 470N 530W 34 X 1( 1) 65(66) 9(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
36 470N 530W 50 X X( X) 22(22) 9(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
36 470N 530W 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
48 505N 487W 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 45(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
48 505N 487W 50 X X( X) X( X) 19(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
48 505N 487W 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 70 65 60 55 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN
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