ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 1500 UTC FRI SEP 29 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 9(33) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 26(30) 3(33) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 18(24) 2(26) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) 1(18) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 1(14) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) 1(15) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) X(16) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 11(28) X(28) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) 1(11) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 299N 571W 34 87 5(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 12 299N 571W 50 16 8(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) 12 299N 571W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 307N 583W 34 44 28(72) 8(80) 1(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) 24 307N 583W 50 2 16(18) 8(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 24 307N 583W 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 319N 596W 34 7 25(32) 29(61) 7(68) 2(70) X(70) X(70) 36 319N 596W 50 X 3( 3) 16(19) 7(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) 36 319N 596W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 48 338N 605W 34 1 5( 6) 23(29) 21(50) 9(59) X(59) X(59) 48 338N 605W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 5(21) X(21) X(21) 48 338N 605W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 72 416N 584W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 10(41) X(41) 72 416N 584W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 3(13) X(13) 72 416N 584W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 96 470N 490W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 8(34) 96 470N 490W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) 96 470N 490W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 120 490N 370W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 120 490N 370W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 120 490N 370W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 45 50 50 50 50 50 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 29-Sep-2006 14:35:02 UTC