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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006
2100 UTC WED SEP 27 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 10(19)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 5(16)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 1(11)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 276N 545W 34 33 17(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
12 276N 545W 50 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
12 276N 545W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 291N 560W 34 2 43(45) 10(55) 1(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57)
24 291N 560W 50 X 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
24 291N 560W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 310N 575W 34 X 8( 8) 38(46) 10(56) 1(57) 1(58) X(58)
36 310N 575W 50 X X( X) 11(11) 6(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18)
36 310N 575W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 340N 580W 34 X X( X) 10(10) 32(42) 9(51) 1(52) X(52)
48 340N 580W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18) X(18) X(18)
48 340N 580W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
72 390N 560W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 32(35) 10(45) 1(46)
72 390N 560W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 4(16) 1(17)
72 390N 560W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
96 420N 500W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 22(28) 7(35)
96 420N 500W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12)
96 420N 500W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
120 460N 400W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17)
120 460N 400W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
120 460N 400W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 50 50 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/PASCH
NNNN
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Page last modified: Wednesday, 27-Sep-2006 20:40:01 UTC