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Tropical Depression NINE (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092006               
2100 UTC WED SEP 27 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  10(19)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   5(16)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)   1(11)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 276N  545W 34 33  17(50)   1(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
 12 276N  545W 50  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 12 276N  545W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 291N  560W 34  2  43(45)  10(55)   1(56)   1(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 24 291N  560W 50  X   8( 8)   5(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 24 291N  560W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 310N  575W 34  X   8( 8)  38(46)  10(56)   1(57)   1(58)   X(58)
 36 310N  575W 50  X   X( X)  11(11)   6(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 36 310N  575W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 340N  580W 34  X   X( X)  10(10)  32(42)   9(51)   1(52)   X(52)
 48 340N  580W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   6(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 48 340N  580W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 72 390N  560W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  32(35)  10(45)   1(46)
 72 390N  560W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   4(16)   1(17)
 72 390N  560W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 96 420N  500W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  22(28)   7(35)
 96 420N  500W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)
 96 420N  500W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
 
120 460N  400W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  14(17)
120 460N  400W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
120 460N  400W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      45      50      50      50      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MAINELLI/PASCH                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Wednesday, 27-Sep-2006 20:40:01 UTC