ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 47 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 2100 UTC SAT SEP 23 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 391N 409W 34 96 2(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 391N 409W 50 90 8(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 12 391N 409W 64 44 29(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) 24 413N 364W 34 11 76(87) 5(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) 24 413N 364W 50 X 62(62) 15(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) 24 413N 364W 64 X 28(28) 13(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) 36 432N 324W 34 X 20(20) 54(74) 6(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) 36 432N 324W 50 X 1( 1) 42(43) 10(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) 36 432N 324W 64 X X( X) 16(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) 48 446N 288W 34 X X( X) 28(28) 27(55) 7(62) 1(63) X(63) 48 446N 288W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 20(25) 6(31) X(31) X(31) 48 446N 288W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 72 470N 210W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 28(31) 6(37) 1(38) 72 470N 210W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12) 72 470N 210W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 96 490N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 13(21) 3(24) 96 490N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 96 490N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 510N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 4(16) 120 510N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 120 510N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 75 70 65 55 45 35 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Saturday, 23-Sep-2006 20:35:02 UTC