ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 46 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 1500 UTC SAT SEP 23 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 389N 430W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 389N 430W 50 92 7(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 389N 430W 64 49 36(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) 24 407N 385W 34 16 72(88) 6(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 24 407N 385W 50 X 70(70) 13(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) 24 407N 385W 64 X 35(35) 16(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) 36 425N 342W 34 X 19(19) 58(77) 8(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) 36 425N 342W 50 X 1( 1) 47(48) 11(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) 36 425N 342W 64 X X( X) 21(21) 8(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) 48 441N 307W 34 X X( X) 29(29) 35(64) 9(73) 1(74) X(74) 48 441N 307W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 28(33) 8(41) X(41) X(41) 48 441N 307W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) 72 470N 230W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 38(41) 6(47) 1(48) 72 470N 230W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 4(19) 1(20) 72 470N 230W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 96 490N 180W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 15(29) 4(33) 96 490N 180W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 2(12) 96 490N 180W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 120 505N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 6(20) 120 505N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 120 505N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 80 75 70 65 55 45 40 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Saturday, 23-Sep-2006 14:40:02 UTC