Tropical Storm HELENE

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  43           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006               
0300 UTC SAT SEP 23 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 36.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 370N  471W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 370N  471W 50 82   5(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 12 370N  471W 64 13   3(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
 24 385N  426W 34 14  77(91)   4(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 24 385N  426W 50  X  63(63)   8(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
 24 385N  426W 64  X  19(19)   7(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
 36 400N  380W 34  X  17(17)  62(79)   7(86)   1(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 36 400N  380W 50  X   1( 1)  45(46)   9(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
 36 400N  380W 64  X   X( X)  14(14)   4(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
 48 421N  337W 34  X   X( X)  18(18)  44(62)   9(71)   X(71)   X(71)
 48 421N  337W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  26(28)   7(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 48 421N  337W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)
 
 
 72 455N  260W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  40(42)   7(49)   1(50)
 72 455N  260W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   4(19)   X(19)
 72 455N  260W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
 
 96 490N  180W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  22(27)   4(31)
 96 490N  180W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   2(11)
 96 490N  180W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
120 530N  120W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   8(17)
120 530N  120W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
120 530N  120W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     60     65      65      60      55      45      40
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN