ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 37 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 1500 UTC THU SEP 21 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 314N 563W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 314N 563W 50 84 7(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) 12 314N 563W 64 41 11(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) 24 341N 545W 34 24 66(90) 5(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) 24 341N 545W 50 X 55(55) 10(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) 24 341N 545W 64 X 24(24) 8(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) 36 368N 512W 34 X 13(13) 63(76) 9(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) 36 368N 512W 50 X X( X) 39(39) 9(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) 36 368N 512W 64 X X( X) 14(14) 6(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 48 396N 466W 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 51(59) 11(70) X(70) X(70) 48 396N 466W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 7(32) X(32) X(32) 48 396N 466W 64 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) 72 452N 364W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 40(40) 10(50) 1(51) 72 452N 364W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 4(18) 1(19) 72 452N 364W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) 96 495N 285W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 28(32) 8(40) 96 495N 285W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 4(17) 96 495N 285W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 120 540N 200W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 16(23) 120 540N 200W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 120 540N 200W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 70 70 70 65 60 60 55 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Thursday, 21-Sep-2006 14:50:02 UTC