ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 0300 UTC THU SEP 21 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 286N 570W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 286N 570W 50 92 4(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 12 286N 570W 64 79 9(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) 24 312N 563W 34 37 56(93) 4(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) 24 312N 563W 50 2 67(69) 11(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) 24 312N 563W 64 X 48(48) 12(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) 36 340N 545W 34 X 25(25) 57(82) 8(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) 36 340N 545W 50 X 3( 3) 47(50) 11(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) 36 340N 545W 64 X X( X) 28(28) 7(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) 48 372N 512W 34 X X( X) 15(15) 48(63) 13(76) X(76) X(76) 48 372N 512W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 31(32) 9(41) 1(42) X(42) 48 372N 512W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 5(20) X(20) X(20) 72 430N 420W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 45(45) 11(56) X(56) 72 430N 420W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 6(23) X(23) 72 430N 420W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) 96 480N 320W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 31(33) 7(40) 96 480N 320W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 4(17) 96 480N 320W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 120 520N 240W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) 120 520N 240W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 120 520N 240W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 90 90 85 75 70 65 55 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Thursday, 21-Sep-2006 02:35:02 UTC