ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 0300 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 1(14) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 246N 527W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 246N 527W 50 96 2(98) X(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 246N 527W 64 78 9(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) 24 250N 544W 34 72 23(95) 2(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 24 250N 544W 50 21 55(76) 7(83) 3(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) 24 250N 544W 64 5 47(52) 9(61) 3(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) 36 254N 559W 34 12 56(68) 18(86) 6(92) 2(94) 1(95) X(95) 36 254N 559W 50 1 32(33) 27(60) 9(69) 5(74) X(74) X(74) 36 254N 559W 64 X 13(13) 25(38) 11(49) 3(52) X(52) X(52) 48 267N 571W 34 3 22(25) 32(57) 21(78) 9(87) 2(89) X(89) 48 267N 571W 50 X 4( 4) 21(25) 24(49) 12(61) 1(62) 1(63) 48 267N 571W 64 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 18(27) 10(37) 1(38) X(38) 72 310N 580W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 46(59) 11(70) 2(72) 72 310N 580W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 28(31) 8(39) 1(40) 72 310N 580W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 5(22) 1(23) 96 355N 560W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 30(44) 10(54) 96 355N 560W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 5(25) 96 355N 560W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13) 120 390N 510W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 18(31) 120 390N 510W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 120 390N 510W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 105 110 110 110 100 90 80 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 19-Sep-2006 02:35:02 UTC