Hurricane HELENE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
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HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
0300 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 1(14)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 246N 527W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 246N 527W 50 96 2(98) X(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 246N 527W 64 78 9(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
24 250N 544W 34 72 23(95) 2(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
24 250N 544W 50 21 55(76) 7(83) 3(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
24 250N 544W 64 5 47(52) 9(61) 3(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
36 254N 559W 34 12 56(68) 18(86) 6(92) 2(94) 1(95) X(95)
36 254N 559W 50 1 32(33) 27(60) 9(69) 5(74) X(74) X(74)
36 254N 559W 64 X 13(13) 25(38) 11(49) 3(52) X(52) X(52)
48 267N 571W 34 3 22(25) 32(57) 21(78) 9(87) 2(89) X(89)
48 267N 571W 50 X 4( 4) 21(25) 24(49) 12(61) 1(62) 1(63)
48 267N 571W 64 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 18(27) 10(37) 1(38) X(38)
72 310N 580W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 46(59) 11(70) 2(72)
72 310N 580W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 28(31) 8(39) 1(40)
72 310N 580W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 5(22) 1(23)
96 355N 560W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 30(44) 10(54)
96 355N 560W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 5(25)
96 355N 560W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13)
120 390N 510W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 18(31)
120 390N 510W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13)
120 390N 510W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 105 110 110 110 100 90 80
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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