Hurricane HELENE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
1500 UTC MON SEP 18 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 9(23)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 239N 510W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 239N 510W 50 90 6(96) X(96) X(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97)
12 239N 510W 64 69 13(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
24 243N 528W 34 54 39(93) 3(96) 1(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98)
24 243N 528W 50 7 62(69) 9(78) 2(80) 2(82) X(82) X(82)
24 243N 528W 64 1 46(47) 11(58) 1(59) 2(61) X(61) X(61)
36 243N 545W 34 4 53(57) 25(82) 6(88) 4(92) X(92) 1(93)
36 243N 545W 50 X 21(21) 33(54) 9(63) 4(67) 1(68) 1(69)
36 243N 545W 64 X 9( 9) 27(36) 7(43) 4(47) 1(48) X(48)
48 245N 560W 34 2 17(19) 39(58) 16(74) 11(85) 1(86) 1(87)
48 245N 560W 50 X 4( 4) 23(27) 19(46) 11(57) 1(58) 1(59)
48 245N 560W 64 X 1( 1) 12(13) 13(26) 10(36) 1(37) X(37)
72 270N 580W 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 17(27) 36(63) 7(70) 2(72)
72 270N 580W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 27(32) 7(39) 2(41)
72 270N 580W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 5(22) 2(24)
96 295N 595W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) 18(49) 7(56)
96 295N 595W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 12(25) 3(28)
96 295N 595W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 3(15)
120 315N 605W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 21(33) 9(42)
120 315N 605W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 6(19)
120 315N 605W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 4(11)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 110 115 115 110 105 100 95
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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