ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 0300 UTC MON SEP 18 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 10(19) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 223N 502W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 223N 502W 50 90 5(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 12 223N 502W 64 68 12(80) 1(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) 24 230N 515W 34 73 21(94) 3(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 24 230N 515W 50 17 52(69) 9(78) 3(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) 24 230N 515W 64 6 42(48) 10(58) 1(59) 2(61) X(61) X(61) 36 233N 531W 34 8 51(59) 23(82) 6(88) 3(91) 1(92) X(92) 36 233N 531W 50 1 22(23) 31(54) 9(63) 5(68) 1(69) X(69) 36 233N 531W 64 X 10(10) 26(36) 7(43) 3(46) 1(47) X(47) 48 236N 548W 34 2 13(15) 37(52) 20(72) 10(82) 2(84) X(84) 48 236N 548W 50 X 3( 3) 21(24) 20(44) 10(54) 3(57) 1(58) 48 236N 548W 64 X 1( 1) 10(11) 15(26) 8(34) 2(36) X(36) 72 250N 580W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 33(56) 10(66) 2(68) 72 250N 580W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 23(30) 7(37) 1(38) 72 250N 580W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 5(21) 1(22) 96 275N 595W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 24(28) 19(47) 7(54) 96 275N 595W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 12(22) 3(25) 96 275N 595W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 2(14) 120 295N 615W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 21(30) 10(40) 120 295N 615W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 7(18) 120 295N 615W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 105 110 110 110 100 95 90 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 18-Sep-2006 02:40:02 UTC