ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 1500 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 166N 431W 34 91 3(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) 12 166N 431W 50 55 12(67) X(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) 12 166N 431W 64 8 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 1(13) X(13) 24 178N 450W 34 15 61(76) 6(82) 3(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) 24 178N 450W 50 1 41(42) 9(51) 1(52) 1(53) 1(54) X(54) 24 178N 450W 64 X 13(13) 6(19) 1(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) 36 187N 465W 34 3 32(35) 30(65) 9(74) 5(79) X(79) 1(80) 36 187N 465W 50 X 9( 9) 26(35) 7(42) 3(45) 1(46) X(46) 36 187N 465W 64 X 1( 1) 12(13) 5(18) 2(20) 1(21) X(21) 48 195N 480W 34 X 8( 8) 29(37) 20(57) 11(68) 1(69) 1(70) 48 195N 480W 50 X 1( 1) 13(14) 15(29) 9(38) 1(39) 1(40) 48 195N 480W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 4(16) 1(17) 1(18) 72 215N 505W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 30(49) 8(57) 2(59) 72 215N 505W 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) 7(29) 1(30) 72 215N 505W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 4(15) 2(17) 96 235N 530W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) 18(39) 8(47) 96 235N 530W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) 4(22) 96 235N 530W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) 120 260N 550W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 13(33) 120 260N 550W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 7(15) 120 260N 550W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 60 65 70 75 85 85 85 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 15-Sep-2006 14:40:02 UTC