ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 0300 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 153N 408W 34 80 6(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) 12 153N 408W 50 9 5(14) X(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) 12 153N 408W 64 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 164N 432W 34 6 58(64) 10(74) 2(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) 24 164N 432W 50 X 15(15) 11(26) 1(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) 24 164N 432W 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 36 175N 452W 34 X 18(18) 40(58) 10(68) 4(72) 1(73) X(73) 36 175N 452W 50 X 1( 1) 21(22) 9(31) 3(34) 1(35) X(35) 36 175N 452W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) 48 185N 467W 34 X 3( 3) 29(32) 22(54) 12(66) 2(68) X(68) 48 185N 467W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 16(23) 8(31) 2(33) 1(34) 48 185N 467W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) 1(14) 1(15) 72 203N 494W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 29(47) 10(57) 2(59) 72 203N 494W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 6(26) 2(28) 72 203N 494W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) 1(15) 96 224N 519W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 19(39) 7(46) 96 224N 519W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 4(21) 96 224N 519W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 120 245N 540W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 10(33) 120 245N 540W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 6(15) 120 245N 540W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 50 60 70 80 90 90 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER STEWART NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 15-Sep-2006 02:55:02 UTC