Tropical Storm HELENE

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TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006
2100 UTC THU SEP 14 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  37.6W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  45SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  37.6W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  37.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.8N  39.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  45SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.0N  42.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  45SE  45SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.3N  44.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  60SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.5N  46.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  75SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.5N  49.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  75SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 22.5N  51.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 25.5N  54.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N  37.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN
 
 
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