Hurricane GORDON

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072006               
1500 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
85 KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR.                                       
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 318N  527W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 318N  527W 50 82   6(88)   1(89)   1(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
 12 318N  527W 64 51   7(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 
 24 325N  523W 34 79  10(89)   4(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 24 325N  523W 50 31  27(58)   7(65)   2(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
 24 325N  523W 64 12  16(28)   4(32)   1(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 
 36 335N  515W 34 15  35(50)  20(70)   6(76)   2(78)   X(78)   X(78)
 36 335N  515W 50  2  14(16)  20(36)   5(41)   1(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 36 335N  515W 64  X   5( 5)   8(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
 48 353N  497W 34  2   5( 7)  18(25)  24(49)   9(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 48 353N  497W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)  15(19)   5(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 48 353N  497W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 72 395N  420W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  27(28)   7(35)   X(35)
 72 395N  420W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)   X(11)
 72 395N  420W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 96 425N  310W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  21(22)   7(29)
 96 425N  310W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)
 96 425N  310W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
120 450N  200W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)
120 450N  200W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
120 450N  200W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     75     65      60      55      50      50      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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