Hurricane GORDON

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072006               
0300 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/HR.                                      
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 314N  535W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 314N  535W 50 85   5(90)   1(91)   X(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 12 314N  535W 64 58  10(68)   1(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)
 
 24 321N  527W 34 87   8(95)   1(96)   X(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 24 321N  527W 50 29  35(64)   6(70)   1(71)   1(72)   X(72)   X(72)
 24 321N  527W 64 10  27(37)   6(43)   1(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 
 36 329N  519W 34 32  41(73)   9(82)   3(85)   2(87)   1(88)   X(88)
 36 329N  519W 50  3  26(29)  18(47)   4(51)   2(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 36 329N  519W 64  1  10(11)  12(23)   3(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
 48 340N  508W 34  2  25(27)  24(51)  12(63)   6(69)   1(70)   X(70)
 48 340N  508W 50  X   4( 4)  15(19)  11(30)   5(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 48 340N  508W 64  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
 
 72 375N  460W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  28(33)   6(39)   X(39)
 72 375N  460W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   2(12)   X(12)
 72 375N  460W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 96 415N  355W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)   7(28)
 96 415N  355W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)
 96 415N  355W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
 
120 430N  210W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)
120 430N  210W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
120 430N  210W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     90     80      70      60      50      50      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN