Hurricane GORDON
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
0900 UTC THU SEP 14 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 301N 556W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 301N 556W 50 87 6(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 1(94)
12 301N 556W 64 60 13(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
24 314N 545W 34 62 31(93) 2(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
24 314N 545W 50 9 55(64) 7(71) 1(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73)
24 314N 545W 64 3 37(40) 7(47) 1(48) X(48) 1(49) X(49)
36 323N 537W 34 9 61(70) 12(82) 2(84) 4(88) X(88) X(88)
36 323N 537W 50 X 29(29) 22(51) 4(55) 3(58) X(58) 1(59)
36 323N 537W 64 X 12(12) 16(28) 2(30) 2(32) 1(33) X(33)
48 328N 532W 34 3 45(48) 22(70) 6(76) 5(81) 1(82) X(82)
48 328N 532W 50 X 13(13) 23(36) 6(42) 5(47) 1(48) X(48)
48 328N 532W 64 X 5( 5) 13(18) 4(22) 3(25) 1(26) X(26)
72 345N 510W 34 X 4( 4) 18(22) 12(34) 20(54) 6(60) 1(61)
72 345N 510W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 14(23) 3(26) 1(27)
72 345N 510W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 1(11) X(11)
96 380N 460W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 17(25) 7(32)
96 380N 460W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10)
96 380N 460W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
120 420N 370W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14)
120 420N 370W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
120 420N 370W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 105 90 80 70 65 50 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/KNABB
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