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Hurricane FLORENCE (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  35              
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062006               
0900 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
37.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)  17(17)  40(57)   9(66)   X(66)   X(66)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  22(24)   5(29)   X(29)   X(29)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   6( 6)  58(64)  14(78)   1(79)   X(79)   X(79)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)  25(25)  12(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X  14(14)  44(58)   4(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)  12(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   7( 7)  21(28)   2(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   5( 5)   9(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X  19(19)   3(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X  18(18)   7(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34 13  61(74)   2(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  2   8(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 394N  605W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 394N  605W 50 87   4(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
 12 394N  605W 64 23   2(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
 24 427N  573W 34 16  71(87)   4(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
 24 427N  573W 50  X  56(56)  10(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
 24 427N  573W 64  X  16(16)   3(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
 36 457N  533W 34  X  13(13)  60(73)   8(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 36 457N  533W 50  X   1( 1)  36(37)   9(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 36 457N  533W 64  X   X( X)  11(11)   4(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
 48 476N  482W 34  X   X( X)  15(15)  40(55)  10(65)   X(65)   X(65)
 48 476N  482W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  20(22)   6(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 48 476N  482W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
 
 72 495N  330W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  29(29)   8(37)   X(37)
 72 495N  330W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)   X(11)
 72 495N  330W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 530N  170W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)   X(18)
 96 530N  170W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)
 96 530N  170W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     60     60      60      55      45      40       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/FRANKLIN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Tuesday, 12-Sep-2006 08:55:01 UTC