Hurricane FLORENCE

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  31              
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062006               
0900 UTC MON SEP 11 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  27(27)  15(42)   X(42)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   7(15)   X(15)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  36(38)   4(42)   X(42)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   2(13)   X(13)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  25(28)   2(30)   X(30)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)   1(17)   X(17)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   9(18)   X(18)   X(18)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  11(18)   1(19)   X(19)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  26(29)  15(44)   1(45)   X(45)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   8(13)   X(13)   X(13)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BERMUDA        34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BERMUDA        50 29   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
BERMUDA        64  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 336N  656W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 336N  656W 50 82   7(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 12 336N  656W 64 49  14(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
 
 24 360N  645W 34 66  29(95)   2(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 24 360N  645W 50  2  55(57)  10(67)   1(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 24 360N  645W 64  X  29(29)   7(36)   1(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 
 36 385N  625W 34  2  41(43)  38(81)   5(86)   1(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 36 385N  625W 50  X   3( 3)  33(36)   8(44)   1(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 36 385N  625W 64  X   1( 1)  14(15)   5(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
 48 415N  600W 34  X   X( X)  22(22)  38(60)  11(71)   X(71)   X(71)
 48 415N  600W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  19(21)   8(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 48 415N  600W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
 
 72 465N  505W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  37(38)   9(47)   X(47)
 72 465N  505W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   4(16)   X(16)
 72 465N  505W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 500N  350W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  23(23)   X(23)
 96 500N  350W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)
 96 500N  350W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     70     70      65      60      55      50       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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