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Tropical Depression SIX


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3         
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062006               
0900 UTC MON SEP 04 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
MARTINIQUE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 165N  424W 34 16  10(26)   2(28)   1(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 12 165N  424W 50  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 165N  424W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 175N  440W 34  1  25(26)  12(38)   3(41)   1(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 24 175N  440W 50  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 24 175N  440W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 184N  456W 34  X   7( 7)  29(36)  10(46)   5(51)   1(52)   X(52)
 36 184N  456W 50  X   X( X)   8( 8)   6(14)   2(16)   1(17)   X(17)
 36 184N  456W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)
 
 48 190N  471W 34  X   1( 1)  19(20)  18(38)  11(49)   1(50)   1(51)
 48 190N  471W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   5(17)   1(18)   1(19)
 48 190N  471W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)
 
 
 72 200N  510W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  25(33)   8(41)   3(44)
 72 200N  510W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   5(17)   1(18)
 72 200N  510W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
 
 
 96 210N  540W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)  16(30)   7(37)
 96 210N  540W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   3(14)
 96 210N  540W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
 
 
120 220N  570W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  12(16)  10(26)
120 220N  570W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   5(11)
120 220N  570W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     35      45      55      60      70      75
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN