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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0300 UTC MON SEP 04 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10)
BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10)
ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 159N 420W 34 24 15(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) 1(41)
12 159N 420W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
12 159N 420W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 170N 438W 34 1 35(36) 11(47) 1(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49)
24 170N 438W 50 X 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
24 170N 438W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 180N 455W 34 X 7( 7) 31(38) 8(46) 3(49) X(49) 1(50)
36 180N 455W 50 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) 1(14) X(14) 1(15)
36 180N 455W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 189N 473W 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 20(34) 10(44) 1(45) 1(46)
48 189N 473W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13)
48 189N 473W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 205N 515W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 25(29) 9(38) 2(40)
72 205N 515W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) 1(14)
72 205N 515W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
96 215N 560W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 17(24) 8(32)
96 215N 560W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11)
96 215N 560W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
120 225N 610W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 13(21)
120 225N 610W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
120 225N 610W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 55 65 75
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:37 UTC