ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 2100 UTC SUN SEP 03 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 156N 419W 34 25 14(39) 1(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) 12 156N 419W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 12 156N 419W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 168N 436W 34 1 35(36) 10(46) 3(49) X(49) 1(50) X(50) 24 168N 436W 50 X 6( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 24 168N 436W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 177N 450W 34 X 11(11) 28(39) 7(46) 4(50) 1(51) X(51) 36 177N 450W 50 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) 36 177N 450W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 185N 467W 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 19(34) 10(44) 2(46) 1(47) 48 185N 467W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) 1(14) X(14) 48 185N 467W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 72 200N 500W 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 22(30) 9(39) 2(41) 72 200N 500W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) 2(15) 72 200N 500W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 96 215N 540W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 16(24) 8(32) 96 215N 540W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) 96 215N 540W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 120 230N 590W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 13(22) 120 230N 590W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 120 230N 590W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 55 65 75 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:37 UTC