Tropical Depression SIX

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062006
1500 UTC MON SEP 04 2006
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  42.7W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  42.7W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  42.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 17.0N  44.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 17.8N  45.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.5N  47.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.2N  48.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.0N  52.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 21.0N  55.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 22.0N  59.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N  42.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
 
 
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