Tropical Storm ERNESTO
ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
0900 UTC FRI SEP 01 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
NEW YORK CITY 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEWARK NJ 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
TRENTON NJ 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BALTIMORE MD 34 1 15(16) 6(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
BALTIMORE MD 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DOVER DE 34 1 8( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 2 15(17) 5(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
ANNAPOLIS MD 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WASHINGTON DC 34 2 20(22) 6(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
WASHINGTON DC 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 2 6( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
RICHMOND VA 34 17 22(39) X(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
RICHMOND VA 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NORFOLK VA 34 26 6(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
RALEIGH NC 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WILMINGTON NC 34 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
WILMINGTON NC 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 367N 774W 34 48 7(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
12 367N 774W 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
12 367N 774W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 386N 775W 34 2 21(23) 6(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
24 386N 775W 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
24 386N 775W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 405N 781W 34 X 5( 5) 10(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
36 405N 781W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 405N 781W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 427N 792W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
48 427N 792W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 427N 792W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 30 25 25 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: