Tropical Depression ERNESTO
ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
0300 UTC THU AUG 31 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 7(17) X(17) X(17)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10)
RICHMOND VA 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 8(18) 4(22) X(22) X(22)
RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NORFOLK VA 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 4(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X 4( 4) 9(13) 3(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17)
RALEIGH NC 34 X 7( 7) 16(23) 3(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27)
RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 6( 6) 7(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 12(12) 10(22) 2(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WILMINGTON NC 34 1 26(27) 11(38) 2(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 41(42) 7(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
CHARLESTON SC 34 3 35(38) 3(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X 5( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAVANNAH GA 34 3 10(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
JACKSONVILLE 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 308N 798W 34 50 14(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
12 308N 798W 50 6 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
12 308N 798W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 335N 790W 34 1 44(45) 6(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
24 335N 790W 50 X 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
24 335N 790W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 359N 783W 34 X 7( 7) 19(26) 3(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30)
36 359N 783W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
36 359N 783W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 379N 782W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 8(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19)
48 379N 782W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 379N 782W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 430N 795W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11)
72 430N 795W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 430N 795W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 50 30 25 25 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: