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Tropical Storm ERNESTO (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052006
1500 UTC THU AUG 31 2006
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA
INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
SOUTH OF THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER
NORTHWARD TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM
SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  79.6W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......  0NE  75SE  40SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  79.6W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  79.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.4N  78.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE  40SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 36.0N  78.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 38.0N  78.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 40.1N  78.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.3N  79.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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