Tropical Storm DEBBY

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042006               
1500 UTC THU AUG 24 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 37.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 214N  402W 34 53  15(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 12 214N  402W 50  9   4(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 12 214N  402W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 226N  430W 34  1  51(52)  12(64)   1(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
 24 226N  430W 50  X  14(14)   9(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 24 226N  430W 64  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 36 238N  455W 34  X   6( 6)  42(48)  10(58)   3(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 36 238N  455W 50  X   1( 1)  16(17)   8(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 36 238N  455W 64  X   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
 48 254N  480W 34  X   X( X)  11(11)  32(43)  13(56)   2(58)   X(58)
 48 254N  480W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  15(17)   7(24)   1(25)   X(25)
 48 254N  480W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
 
 72 285N  505W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  32(41)  10(51)   2(53)
 72 285N  505W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)   5(21)   2(23)
 72 285N  505W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)
 
 
 96 315N  505W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)  19(38)   7(45)
 96 315N  505W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   8(13)   4(17)
 96 315N  505W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)
 
 
120 360N  480W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)  14(26)
120 360N  480W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)
120 360N  480W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     50      55      60      65      65      65
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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