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Tropical Storm DEBBY (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042006               
0300 UTC THU AUG 24 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 198N  368W 34 50  15(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
 12 198N  368W 50  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 12 198N  368W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 211N  397W 34  X  43(43)  12(55)   1(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
 24 211N  397W 50  X   8( 8)   6(14)   X(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 24 211N  397W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 223N  425W 34  X   2( 2)  38(40)  11(51)   3(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 36 223N  425W 50  X   X( X)  11(11)   6(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 36 223N  425W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 48 236N  450W 34  X   X( X)   8( 8)  28(36)  13(49)   1(50)   1(51)
 48 236N  450W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   6(19)   1(20)   X(20)
 48 236N  450W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 72 264N  492W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  31(34)  10(44)   2(46)
 72 264N  492W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   4(17)   2(19)
 72 264N  492W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
 
 
 96 295N  515W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  20(31)   8(39)
 96 295N  515W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)   3(14)
 96 295N  515W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
 
 
120 330N  515W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)  12(27)
120 330N  515W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)
120 330N  515W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      50      55      60      65      65
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:35 UTC