ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006 0300 UTC TUE AUG 22 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 23.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 129N 251W 34 23 10(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) 12 129N 251W 50 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 129N 251W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 141N 277W 34 1 29(30) 10(40) X(40) X(40) 1(41) X(41) 24 141N 277W 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 24 141N 277W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 159N 306W 34 X 2( 2) 31(33) 10(43) 2(45) X(45) X(45) 36 159N 306W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) 36 159N 306W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 175N 334W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 26(30) 11(41) 1(42) X(42) 48 175N 334W 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) 48 175N 334W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 205N 384W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) 9(38) 1(39) 72 205N 384W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 5(15) X(15) 72 205N 384W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 96 240N 445W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 7(32) 96 240N 445W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) 96 240N 445W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 120 270N 510W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 120 270N 510W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 120 270N 510W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 60 65 65 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER STEWART NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:35 UTC