ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006 2100 UTC THU AUG 03 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) X(10) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) X(15) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) 1(15) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ANDROS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 1(14) X(14) ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 3(15) X(15) 1(16) SAN SALVADOR 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MAYAGUANA 34 X 7( 7) 12(19) 1(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) GRAND TURK 34 3 23(26) 3(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) 1(15) HAVANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) 1(11) ISLE OF PINES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 1(13) 1(14) CIENFUEGOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) 1(15) X(15) CAMAGUEY 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 3 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 209N 698W 34 18 16(34) X(34) X(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) 12 209N 698W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 209N 698W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 213N 720W 34 1 19(20) 8(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) 24 213N 720W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 24 213N 720W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 217N 743W 34 X 3( 3) 16(19) 6(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) 36 217N 743W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 217N 743W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 222N 769W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 5(19) X(19) X(19) 48 222N 769W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 222N 769W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 233N 820W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) 1(15) 72 233N 820W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 72 233N 820W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 245N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13) 96 245N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 96 245N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 255N 920W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 120 255N 920W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 255N 920W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:35 UTC