Tropical Storm CHRIS

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TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032006
0900 UTC WED AUG 02 2006
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF
ANGUILLA...ST. BARTHELEMY...ST. MARTIN...AND ST. MAARTEN...AND
ALSO FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...
ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  62.6W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 65NE  50SE  25SW  35NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  62.6W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  62.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.4N  64.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  10SW  15NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.0N  65.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.6N  67.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.2N  69.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.2N  73.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.3N  77.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 24.5N  82.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N  62.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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