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TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
0900Z TUE JUN 13 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 2(17)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 1(23)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 21(25) X(25)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) X(21)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 1(18)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 8(19) 1(20)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 12(20) X(20)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 10(24) 1(25)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 5(18) X(18)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 2(16) X(16)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
RALEIGH NC 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 20(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 13(13) 14(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X 1( 1) 22(23) 8(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
COLUMBIA SC 34 1 5( 6) 14(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 4( 4) 27(31) 3(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CHARLESTON SC 34 1 13(14) 24(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ATLANTA GA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AUGUSTA GA 34 1 11(12) 8(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
AUGUSTA GA 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAVANNAH GA 34 3 35(38) 11(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
JACKSONVILLE 34 33 24(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
JACKSONVILLE 50 1 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 13 5(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
ORLANDO FL 34 9 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 4 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
FT PIERCE FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
VENICE FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 47 1(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 8 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ST MARKS FL 34 78 X(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
ST MARKS FL 50 14 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
APALACHICOLA 34 24 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
APALACHICOLA 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
COLUMBUS GA 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 303N 834W 34 89 3(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
12 303N 834W 50 22 3(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
12 303N 834W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 321N 819W 34 5 39(44) 5(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
24 321N 819W 50 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
24 321N 819W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 344N 789W 34 X 2( 2) 21(23) 5(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
36 344N 789W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
36 344N 789W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 370N 735W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 6(25) X(25) X(25)
48 370N 735W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 370N 735W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 435N 620W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 4(23) X(23)
72 435N 620W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
72 435N 620W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 505N 485W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 6(24)
96 505N 485W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
96 505N 485W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 550N 250W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11)
120 550N 250W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
120 550N 250W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 35 30 35 40 40 40
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:33 UTC