ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OTIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT SUN OCT 02 2005 ...OTIS BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO SAN LUCAS TO LORETO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF LORETO NORTHWARD TO MULAGE. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE NEAR BOTH COASTS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OTIS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT OTIS IS LOCATED FATHER SOUTH AND WEST THAN PREVIOUSLY INDICATED. AT 11 AM PDT... 1800Z... THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.2 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES ...210 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ABOUT 140 MILES...230 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO. OTIS HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT THE CYCLONE SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR LATER TODAY. THE CENTER OF OTIS IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO REMAIN WEST OR VERY NEAR THE WEST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...ANY MOTION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY. SATELLITE IMAGES ALSO INDICATE THAT OTIS HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES ...150 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. OTIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA THROUGH MONDAY...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CENTRAL BAJA PENINSULA. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...22.7 N...112.2 W. MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Sunday, 02-Oct-2005 17:40:22 UTC