Hurricane OTIS

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HURRICANE OTIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  13A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM PDT SAT OCT 01 2005
 
...OTIS CREEPING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD BAJA CALIFORNIA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS
SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS.  HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD TO EAST OF
CABO SAN LUCAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO NORTHWARD TO LORETO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE NEAR BOTH COASTS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
OTIS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA... INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS... PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OTIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.7 WEST OR ABOUT  135 MILES...
215 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
AND ABOUT 205 MILES... 330 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO.
 
OTIS HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS
FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH WITH A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTH DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF OTIS IS
CURRENTLY FORECAST TO REMAIN WEST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA.
HOWEVER... ANY MOTION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD
BRING THE CENTER NEAR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. OTIS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM. HOWEVER... WINDS WILL BE STRONGER AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.  A SHIP LOCATED ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM... WEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND
OF 43 MPH...69 KM/HR.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  970 MB...28.64 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH OTIS OVER
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY. HEAVY AMOUNTS COULD SPREAD
NORTHWARD TROUGH THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA BY SUNDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...21.9 N...111.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR  5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 8 AM PDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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