Tropical Depression TWENTY-SEVEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE NOV 15 2005

...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...

INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 66.4 WEST OR
ABOUT 265 MILES... 425 KM... SOUTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

MOST OF THE RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION IS OCCURRING IN
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CIRCULATION.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... PUERTO
RICO... AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS.  ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN AREAS OF THE
WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.  THIS COULD LEAD TO
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...14.6 N... 66.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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