Tropical Storm ALPHA

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005
 
...ALPHA EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE WATERS NORTH OF HAITI LATER
TODAY...TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CONTINUE...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. AT 2 PM
EDT...1800Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
ALPHA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.8 WEST
OVER THE NORTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI AND ABOUT 100 MILES...160
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH
...24 KM/HR. IF SURVIVES...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL BE BACK
OVER WATER LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THIS WINDS ARE OCCURRING MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE
NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT ALFA COULD
REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WHEN THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER
WATER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...19.8 N... 72.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
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