Hurricane EMILY

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HURRICANE EMILY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  31A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005
 
...NOAA RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS A WEAKER EMILY...RE-STRENGTHENING
EXPECTED....
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO ROJO MEXICO NORTHWARD
TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM
CABO CATOCHE WESTWARD AND SOUTHWARD TO CAMPECHE. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  90.3 WEST OR ABOUT 490
MILES...785 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO AND ABOUT 510
MILES... 820 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
 
EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. 
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED.
 
DATA FROM A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT EMILY WEAKENED
OVER YUCATAN AND THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR
75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EMILY IS A CATEGORY ONE
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. HOWEVER...RE-STRENGTHENING
IS EXPECTED AND EMILY COULD REGAIN MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS BEFORE
LANDFALL. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 150 MILES...240 KM.
 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ON THE CARIBBEAN SIDE OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TODAY.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER
PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP
TO 5 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...22.0 N... 90.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
  
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